One of my favorite handicapping mantras is that the books are always flush with Cubs money. But the 2007 playoffs might be different – at least for the first week.

In Wednesday’s NLDS opener against Arizona, the Cubs were +125 at press time. That’s not bad for value what looks like a toss-up on paper. Carlos Zambrano and Brandon Webb are the starters; both are excellent, although Webb has the advantage here. Arizona also has the better bullpen. But the Cubs had a .754 team OPS, the Snakes .734. Chicago’s defense is also superior, especially with Orlando Hudson (also Arizona’s top hitter at .817 OPS) out for the season.

In the junior circuit, the Angels are +150 against Boston. In this case, John Lackey has arguably performed better than Josh Beckett. The Red Sox counter with the stronger lineup: .806 OPS to .762 for Los Angeles of Anaheim. The Sox might have a slight edge, but +150? Ridonkulous.